Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.271772 0.311950 0.355085 0.404727 0.460164 0.520053 0.589525
2025-12-14 0.207410 0.261740 0.324728 0.402675 0.496033 0.603723 0.736775
2025-12-21 0.157503 0.217870 0.293182 0.392901 0.520181 0.675819 0.878965
2025-12-28 0.129676 0.195343 0.282961 0.406211 0.572546 0.786389 1.078747
2026-01-04 0.108116 0.176656 0.274071 0.418962 0.624605 0.901005 1.294519
2026-01-11 0.088377 0.156453 0.259339 0.420729 0.660859 0.997126 1.493852
2026-01-18 0.072575 0.138902 0.245238 0.420617 0.693229 1.089557 1.694802
2026-01-25 0.059733 0.123411 0.231498 0.418472 0.721254 1.176934 1.894270
2026-02-01 0.049670 0.110555 0.219733 0.417297 0.749660 1.266021 2.101657
2026-02-08 0.041559 0.099514 0.209109 0.416131 0.777105 1.354733 2.313586
2026-02-15 0.034516 0.088962 0.197506 0.411344 0.797330 1.432659 2.512991
2026-02-22 0.030111 0.082961 0.193428 0.419274 0.839412 1.547999 2.777979
2026-03-01 0.025072 0.074429 0.183124 0.414500 0.859112 1.628677 2.993912
2026-03-08 0.021528 0.068579 0.177368 0.417701 0.893335 1.736041 3.260403
2026-03-15 0.017841 0.061361 0.167377 0.410957 0.908086 1.810421 3.475617
2026-03-22 0.016168 0.059154 0.168320 0.426991 0.967722 1.967677 3.841540
2026-03-29 0.014613 0.056872 0.168690 0.441746 1.025929 2.125765 4.217214
2026-04-05 0.012654 0.052791 0.163951 0.444527 1.060115 2.241713 4.524265
2026-04-12 0.010880 0.048739 0.158544 0.445005 1.089375 2.349941 4.822733
2026-04-19 0.009279 0.044732 0.152501 0.443134 1.113303 2.449163 5.109479
2026-04-26 0.007946 0.041220 0.147139 0.442142 1.138819 2.552631 5.408839
2026-05-03 0.006807 0.038017 0.142036 0.441070 1.163877 2.656365 5.713392
2026-05-10 0.005737 0.034654 0.135770 0.436137 1.179657 2.742225 5.987786